Penn State
W-L: (35- 7) PR = 97.8155Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 925 H St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 3- 0 926 H St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 5- 2 1003 A Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 3- 1 1004 A Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 5- 3 1010 A Delaware TL ( 2-31, 91.9) 5- 0 1011 A Delaware TL ( 2-31, 91.9) 7- 0 1017 H Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 1018 H Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 6- 1 1024 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 6- 1 1025 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 5- 0 1031 A Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 4- 0 1101 A Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 4- 0 1114 H Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 7- 0 1115 H Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 1- 2 1121 A RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 5- 3 1122 A RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 4- 3 1128 A Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 3 1129 A Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 4- 1 1230 H Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 1- 0 1230 H Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 3- 2 1230 H Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 1- 0 1230 H Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 3- 2 102 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 5 103 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 109 A Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 110 A Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 3- 4 116 A Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 4- 1 117 A Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 3- 2 120 A Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 5- 1 123 H Delaware TL ( 2-31, 91.9) 5- 0 124 H Delaware TL ( 2-31, 91.9) 7- 0 130 H Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 3- 0 131 H Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 5- 2 206 A Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 6- 3 207 A Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 5- 0 213 H RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 2- 3 214 H RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 4- 2 227 H Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 7- 0 228 H Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 2- 1 307 H Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 3- 2 314 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 3- 0 320 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
925 H St. Lawrence 3- 0 3 3 -0.06
926 H St. Lawrence 5- 2 3 3 -0.06
1003 A Vermont 3- 1 2 3 -0.76
1004 A Vermont 5- 3 2 3 -0.76
1010 A Delaware 5- 0 5 6 -0.53
1011 A Delaware 7- 0 7 6 1.47
1017 H Mercyhurst 3- 0 3 2 0.86
1018 H Mercyhurst 6- 1 5 2 + 2.86
1024 H Lindenwood 6- 1 5 3 1.52
1025 H Lindenwood 5- 0 5 3 1.52
1031 A Robert Morris 4- 0 4 3 0.84
1101 A Robert Morris 4- 0 4 3 0.84
1114 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 3 + 3.52
1115 H Syracuse 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.48
1121 A RIT 5- 3 2 2 -0.23
1122 A RIT 4- 3 1 2 -1.23
1128 A Northeastern 2- 3 -1 1 -1.85
1129 A Northeastern 4- 1 3 1 + 2.15
1230 H Brown 3- 2 1 2 -1.37
1230 H Brown 3- 2 1 2 -1.37
102 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.52
103 A Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.52
109 A Mercyhurst 3- 0 3 1 1.65
110 A Mercyhurst 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.35
116 A Syracuse 4- 1 3 3 0.31
117 A Syracuse 3- 2 1 3 -1.69
120 A Cornell 5- 1 4 1 + 3.25
123 H Delaware 5- 0 5 6 -1.31
124 H Delaware 7- 0 7 6 0.69
130 H Robert Morris 3- 0 3 4 -0.95
131 H Robert Morris 5- 2 3 4 -0.95
206 A Lindenwood 6- 3 3 3 0.30
207 A Lindenwood 5- 0 5 3 + 2.30
213 H RIT 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.02
214 H RIT 4- 2 2 3 -1.02
227 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 3 + 3.52
228 H Syracuse 2- 1 1 3 - -2.48
307 H Mercyhurst 3- 2 1 2 -1.14
314 H Connecticut 3- 0 3 1 1.61
320 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 -2 1.38
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1115 H Syracuse 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.48 213 H RIT 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.02 110 A Mercyhurst 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.35 228 H Syracuse 2- 1 1 3 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Mercyhurst 6- 1 5 2 + 2.86 1114 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 3 + 3.52 1129 A Northeastern 4- 1 3 1 + 2.15 120 A Cornell 5- 1 4 1 + 3.25 207 A Lindenwood 5- 0 5 3 + 2.30 227 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 3 + 3.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 3- 0 -4.75 3.25 -0.39 0.87 4.99
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 5- 2 -4.75 3.25 -0.39 0.87 4.99
0 A Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.24 2.76 0.39 0.87 5.50
0 A Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 5- 3 -5.24 2.76 0.39 0.87 5.50
0 A Delaware ( 2-31, 91.9) 5- 0 -8.00 1.00 0.39 0.87 2.43
0 A Delaware ( 2-31, 91.9) 7- 0 -8.00 1.00 0.39 0.87 2.43
0 H Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 -3.83 4.17 -0.39 0.87 6.60
0 H Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 6- 1 -3.83 4.17 -0.39 0.87 6.60
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 6- 1 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 0.87 4.25
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 5- 0 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 0.87 4.25
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 4- 0 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.87 4.81
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 4- 0 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.87 4.81
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 7- 0 -5.17 2.84 -0.39 0.87 4.26
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 1- 2 -5.17 2.84 -0.39 0.87 -2.42
0 A RIT (17-20, 95.2) 5- 3 -4.71 3.29 0.39 0.87 6.43
0 A RIT (17-20, 95.2) 4- 3 -4.71 3.29 0.39 0.87 6.43
0 A Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.32 4.68 0.39 0.87 -1.28
0 A Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.32 4.68 0.39 0.87 8.84
0 H Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 1- 0 -3.23 4.78 -0.39 0.87 7.64
0 H Brown (18-15, 95.8) 3- 2 -4.06 3.94 -0.39 0.87 6.19
0 H Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 1- 0 -3.23 4.78 -0.39 0.87 7.64
0 H Brown (18-15, 95.8) 3- 2 -4.06 3.94 -0.39 0.87 6.19
0 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.87 -0.17
0 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.87 -0.17
0 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 -3.83 4.17 0.39 0.87 7.97
0 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 4 -3.83 4.17 0.39 0.87 -1.50
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 4- 1 -5.17 2.84 0.39 0.87 5.63
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.17 2.84 0.39 0.87 5.63
0 A Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 5- 1 -3.23 4.78 0.39 0.87 9.01
0 H Delaware ( 2-31, 91.9) 5- 0 -8.00 1.00 -0.39 0.87 1.06
0 H Delaware ( 2-31, 91.9) 7- 0 -8.00 1.00 -0.39 0.87 1.06
0 H Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 3- 0 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 0.87 3.44
0 H Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 5- 2 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 0.87 3.44
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 6- 3 -5.17 2.83 0.39 0.87 5.62
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 5- 0 -5.17 2.83 0.39 0.87 5.62
0 H RIT (17-20, 95.2) 2- 3 -4.71 3.29 -0.39 0.87 -2.22
0 H RIT (17-20, 95.2) 4- 2 -4.71 3.29 -0.39 0.87 5.06
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 7- 0 -5.17 2.84 -0.39 0.87 4.26
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 2- 1 -5.17 2.84 -0.39 0.87 4.26
0 H Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 2 -3.83 4.17 -0.39 0.87 6.60
0 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 3- 0 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 0.87 7.90
0 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.87 -0.13
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179.44
|
winning pts = 187.3323 losing points = -7.8970
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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